When considering California foreclosures and how they affect California, consider how many different things had to have gone wrong for the Golden State to have ended up with the foreclosure issues it now is facing. Rampant speculation and unbridled exuberance masked the fact that the good times could not possibly have lasted forever, though many thought they would.
For around 10 years, from the mid-90s to about 2005, the Golden State had some of the most vigorous and exuberant real estate markets in the country. Prior to 1995, most people everywhere considered that a home would be something one would purchase and then live in for quite some time. As a result, home values remained fairly steady and prices rose at a very measured pace, for the most part.
And this is where the first issue with the increasing rate of CA foreclosures began to show itself; in the fact that home buyers were expecting to take profits from a home not soon after they purchased it. What this means is that they were loading more debt onto the home in the form of second mortgages and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) as well as expecting a large profit from a sale in the future.
It wasn't uncommon during the 1995 to 2005 run-up in real estate prices in California to see buyers get into a home and get out a year or two later with a 30% return on their investment. Any person with economic savvy would have said that this wouldn't have been able to last forever, but unbridled exuberance convinced many that it could, unfortunately.
Put all of the excessive enthusiasm for California real estate together with the fact that many people were getting into this real estate by purchasing more home than they actually could afford and it's easy to see how real problems would soon begin to develop. Many people sitting in homes that they'd purchased at low initial monthly payments saw those payments rise and, as a result, any hope of profit disappear.
There's a basic weakness in a formula, when it comes to a house, that presupposes the ever-increasing rise of property values and that's that the market cannot remain on an upswing forever and especially when a recession hits, which it finally did in 2007. California actually began to feel a softening its own markets, though, in 2005 but many missed the early warning signs, unfortunately.
Once Golden State property values started on a downward swing, that drop was only intensified by the fact that financial markets themselves tanked in late 2008. At that point, California foreclosures really began to increase as many home owners found themselves in even more dire fiscal straits than could have been foreseen at the time many of these homes were purchased, shortly before the recession.
As to what the rate of CA foreclosures might mean for California, most would say that a period of decline and a shakeout accompanied by a solution to California's budget woes and structural defects in its real estate markets is necessary. With so many homes sitting in foreclosure or unsold, California is going to have to work hard to improve itself, which is something most hope it does soon.
For around 10 years, from the mid-90s to about 2005, the Golden State had some of the most vigorous and exuberant real estate markets in the country. Prior to 1995, most people everywhere considered that a home would be something one would purchase and then live in for quite some time. As a result, home values remained fairly steady and prices rose at a very measured pace, for the most part.
And this is where the first issue with the increasing rate of CA foreclosures began to show itself; in the fact that home buyers were expecting to take profits from a home not soon after they purchased it. What this means is that they were loading more debt onto the home in the form of second mortgages and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) as well as expecting a large profit from a sale in the future.
It wasn't uncommon during the 1995 to 2005 run-up in real estate prices in California to see buyers get into a home and get out a year or two later with a 30% return on their investment. Any person with economic savvy would have said that this wouldn't have been able to last forever, but unbridled exuberance convinced many that it could, unfortunately.
Put all of the excessive enthusiasm for California real estate together with the fact that many people were getting into this real estate by purchasing more home than they actually could afford and it's easy to see how real problems would soon begin to develop. Many people sitting in homes that they'd purchased at low initial monthly payments saw those payments rise and, as a result, any hope of profit disappear.
There's a basic weakness in a formula, when it comes to a house, that presupposes the ever-increasing rise of property values and that's that the market cannot remain on an upswing forever and especially when a recession hits, which it finally did in 2007. California actually began to feel a softening its own markets, though, in 2005 but many missed the early warning signs, unfortunately.
Once Golden State property values started on a downward swing, that drop was only intensified by the fact that financial markets themselves tanked in late 2008. At that point, California foreclosures really began to increase as many home owners found themselves in even more dire fiscal straits than could have been foreseen at the time many of these homes were purchased, shortly before the recession.
As to what the rate of CA foreclosures might mean for California, most would say that a period of decline and a shakeout accompanied by a solution to California's budget woes and structural defects in its real estate markets is necessary. With so many homes sitting in foreclosure or unsold, California is going to have to work hard to improve itself, which is something most hope it does soon.
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